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Rain And Temperature Predict Cholera Risks
环境监测保健康

Bad blood pressure and cholesterol numbers are predictors for future health problems. You won’t definitely have a heart attack, for example, but your risk is higher. Now researchers have developed a similar-style early warning system for the public health of an entire region. They found that an analysis of particular environmental conditions helps predict the risk of an outbreak of the deadly disease cholera. The work is in the American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. [Citation to come]
血压、胆固醇指数等不正常,那你将来的健康就可能出现问题了。就拿心脏病来说,不说100%,但你的得病几率会比常人高很 多。对此,研究人员研发出一种某区域内公共卫生的类预警系统。他们发现对某环境条件的分析能够辅助估计致命疾病霍乱的暴发率。该研究结果刊登在《美国热带 医学与卫生杂志》上。

The scientists did a kind of retrospective clinical study, in which they analyzed years of both disease and environmental data from the Zanzibar archipelago, and they discovered that in areas already at-risk a one-degree Celsius increase in temperature over the average monthly minimum was associated with a doubling of the cholera cases within the next four months. A 200-millimeter increase in the monthly rainfall total also went along with a big rise in cholera cases within two months.
科学家们进行了某种回顾性临床研究,在此过程中,分析了多年内桑给巴尔群岛上的疾病数据和环境数 据。经研究发现,已存在疾病发生危险的区域,某月最低平均气温每上升1摄氏度,接下来的四个月中霍乱病例数量就会翻倍。月降水量增加200毫米,接下来的 两个月内霍乱病例数量也会骤增。

Cholera bacteria thrive in warm water where sanitation is poor. So the hotter, wetter conditions are just what the doctor did not order. The researchers hope that monitoring the environment can help communities prepare better for cholera outbreaks.
霍乱病菌在卫生条件差的温暖水质中增殖相当迅速。因此医生们会让问诊病人尽量避免接触温暖潮湿的环境。研究人员希望环境检测能够帮助人们做好防治霍乱暴发更完善的准备。

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