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Family Planning Stabilizes Population, But Global Investment Is Down
计划生育初见成效，全球投入却在减少

“There has been tremendous declines in fertility.The key has been the prevention of unwanted births, really around the globe.”
“出生率在大幅下降，关键是控制全球的意外生育现象。”

John Casterline directs the Initiative in Population Research at Ohio State.He spoke at the AAAS meeting in Washington on February 20th.
约翰·卡泰灵监督了俄亥俄州人口普查计划。他2月20日于华盛顿的美国科学促进协会会议上发表了讲话。

“This is a really remarkable public health success story that I think doesn’t get featured with all the other kinds of success we’ve had in eliminating some diseases and so forth.But the story is not complete yet.There’s still a considerable amount of unintended fertility, especially in some parts of Asia and Africa.
“这真是一个关于公众健康的成功案例，反响极大，但我并不认为它所取得成就的性质和根除疾病相同。因为这个事件并未结束。尤其在亚洲和非洲的某些地区仍存在非预期的生育情况。”

“What are the prospects now looking forward that we can address that level of unwanted fertility?Well, on a hopeful side we know that there are very high levels of unmet need for family planning.So if we were to satisfy that unmet need, various analyses show we would go a long way towards achieving the reduction in birth rates that are required to achieve global population stabilization.
“我们对可以解决的意外生育的期望是什么呢？乐观地说，我们知道计划生育仍有着较高且未满足的需求。所以如果我们想满足这些需求，各种分析表明，为达到使全球人口稳定的出生率，我们还有很长的路要走。

“On the less hopeful side, we’ve been successively underinvesting in family planning internationally.As the number, actually, of women in need has grown, the investment has declined.”
“悲观地说，我们在计划生育上面付出的努力还不够。女性的需求在增长时，这种努力成功的可能性就会下降。”

—Steve Mirsky

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