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Are ocean currents likely to carry spilled oil to Atlantic?

EarthSky

Are ocean currents likely to carry oil from the BP spill out of the Gulf of Mexico and into the Atlantic? In early June, 2010 many news organizations reported that the answer was yes. They based their reports on a video from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, or NCAR – a computer simulation showing movement from the site of the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico up the eastern seaboard of the U.S. and into the open ocean. But NCAR scientist Synte Peacock – who helped create the video – told EarthSky that it wasn’t depicting the movement of oil, but a color dye.

BP泄露的原油会在洋流作用下从墨西哥湾流进大西洋吗?很多新闻媒体都在2010年初6月初都做出了肯定的回答。他们报道的根据来自国家气象研究中心(NCAR)的一个视频资料——计算机仿真了从墨西哥湾BP原油泄露处向美国东海岸扩散,进入辽阔的海洋的运动过程。但是参与创建该视频的NCAR科学家辛特•皮科克告诉EarthSky:该模型模拟的不是石油的移动,而是一种有色染料的移动。

Synte Peacock: We didn’t try to simulate oil, so we put in a dye which is like a food coloring. It has no physical resemblance to crude oil.

辛特•皮科克:我们并没有尝试用原油去模拟,而是一种类似色素的染料代替。它和原油不存在物理上的相似之处。

Dr. Peacock said that – within 6 months – a dye would travel to the Atlantic Ocean. Oil behaves differently for various reasons. But she said: We still think it’s very likely that oil will get into the Atlantic.

皮科克博士说:染料在6个月内将扩散到大西洋,因为种种原因,油污的扩散的情况会有些不同,但我们仍认为油污抵达大西洋的概率是很大的。

If it does, she said, people shouldn’t expect oil to coat Atlantic beaches and wildlife. That’s because some oil will evaporate, be eaten by microbes, and become diluted in sea water. EarthSky also spoke with oceanographer Breck Owens at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, whose team has released an underwater robot to directly measure currents in and around the oil spill. He said Gulf currents are too unpredictable to make accurate forecasts of where the oil will travel.

她说:如果油污最终抵达大西洋,人们不必担心大西洋海滨会被原油覆盖,或野生动物遭到涂炭,因为油污会蒸发一部分,被微生物分解一部分,及被海水稀释一部分。EarthSky也采访了伍兹霍尔海洋研究所的海洋学家布瑞克•欧文斯,他所在的团队安装了安装一个水下机器人,直接测量原油泄露处及其周围洋流的状态。他说,海湾洋流的状态变幻莫测,很难对油污的扩散趋势做出准确的预测。

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